Decision Engine — Tool 08
Energy Availability.
Whether your operation gets the megawatts it needs is a state-level question — and it has more than one answer. v1 covers the 10 states that absorb most US-to-Mexico FDI: live CFE industrial tariff portal, CENACE control region and capacity tightness, regional renewable mix, interconnection wait times, and the anchor generation/transmission projects shaping each corridor through 2030. Every cell carries a primary-source citation.
Coverage
10 states · top FDI corridors
7 SIN regions (Central, Oriental, Occidental, Noroeste, Norte, Noreste, Peninsular) plus isolated SIBC and SIBCS.
Sources
CFE · PRODESEN · CENACE · CRE/CNE
Live CFE GDMTH portal for tariffs. PRODESEN 2024-2038 + Plan Fortalecimiento 2025-2030 for capacity. CENACE for grid regions.
Refresh
Annual · Reviewed: 2026-05-01
Next scheduled review: 2027-02-28 (post-PRODESEN annual cycle). Open access — no qualification required.
Compare states (10 of 10 selected)
Energy dimension
Chihuahua
northwest
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Norte
Tarifa region Norte. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE; 2026 indicative all-in industrial range MXN $2.20–3.00/kWh depending on hour block and season. Norte region uses standard summer/winter calendar (last Sunday of October to first Sunday of April winter; first Sunday of April to last Sunday of October summer).
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Norte)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Nuevo León
northeast
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Noreste
Tarifa region Noreste. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE. 2026 indicative all-in industrial range MXN $2.30–3.20/kWh. Noreste uses standard SIN summer/winter calendar.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Noreste)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Coahuila
northeast
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Noreste (Saltillo–Ramos Arizpe) + Norte (La Laguna)
Tarifa region depends on municipality — Saltillo/Ramos Arizpe corridor is Noreste; Torreón/La Laguna is Norte. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE per region. 2026 indicative all-in industrial range MXN $2.20–3.20/kWh.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Sonora
northwest
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Noroeste
Tarifa region Noroeste. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE. 2026 indicative all-in industrial range MXN $2.30–3.30/kWh. Noroeste shares the SIN summer/winter calendar with the broader interconnected system.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Noroeste)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Baja California
northwest
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Baja California (isolated)
Tarifa region Baja California is its own zone with a distinct summer/winter calendar (May 1 to last Saturday before last Sunday of October summer; last Sunday of October to April 30 winter). Rates trend slightly higher than SIN regions due to grid isolation. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Baja California)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Querétaro
bajio
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Occidental (with Central edge)
Tarifa region Occidental for most of the state; some boundary municipalities under Central. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE. 2026 indicative all-in industrial range MXN $2.30–3.30/kWh.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Occidental)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Guanajuato
bajio
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Occidental
Tarifa region Occidental. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE. 2026 indicative all-in industrial range MXN $2.30–3.30/kWh.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Occidental)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
San Luis Potosí
bajio
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Noreste (primary) + Occidental boundary
Tarifa region Noreste for most of the state; some western municipalities edge into Occidental. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Jalisco
central
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Occidental
Tarifa region Occidental. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE. Guadalajara is the Occidental control center city.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Occidental)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Puebla
central
GDMTH (≥100 kW industrial)
Tarifa region: Oriental
Tarifa region Oriental. Live GDMTH rate published monthly by CFE. Puebla city is the Oriental control center alongside Mexico City for SEN coordination.
CFE Tarifas Industriales — Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria (live monthly portal, region Oriental)
Primary source →Verified 2026-05-01
Field note
CFE GDMTH (Gran Demanda en Media Tensión Horaria) is the standard industrial tariff for loads ≥100 kW in medium tension. Rates are published MONTHLY by CFE per tariff region (Central, Noreste, Noroeste, Norte, Occidental, Oriental, Peninsular, Baja California, Baja California Sur), governed by CRE Acuerdo A/158/2024. Rates vary by base/intermediate/peak hour blocks and by season (summer vs winter). Indicative all-in industrial GDMTH rates fall in the MXN $2.00–3.50 / kWh range across regions in 2025–2026, but the live portal is the only authoritative source — never quote a static rate for a contract. Each cell here links to the CFE live portal pre-loaded for the state's tariff region.
Methodology and what v1 does not model
Mexico's electric system is administered nationally by CENACE through 7 interconnected regions plus 2 isolated systems. CFE publishes industrial tariffs monthly per region; PRODESEN sets the 15-year planning horizon; CENACE runs interconnection studies under CRE/CNE rules. v1 captures the structural read; live signals (real-time grid load, day-ahead clearing prices, sub-station-level capacity) require operational tooling that sits outside a v1 reference.
In v1
CFE GDMTH industrial tariff portal pre-loaded per state's tariff region. CENACE GCR mapping with PRODESEN-derived capacity-tightness reads. Regional renewable mix context with anchor-project citations. Typical industrial interconnection wait-time bands per CENACE statutory windows + 2025–2026 corridor reporting. Anchor generation and transmission projects from the CFE 2025–2030 Plan de Expansión and Plan de Fortalecimiento.
v1 does NOT model
Real-time grid load (CENACE MOSE platform) is not modeled. Sub-station-level / park-level capacity is not surfaced — that is project-specific and requires direct CFE Distribución consultation. Time-of-use bill modeling (peak / intermediate / base hour-block calculations) is not computed; the CFE portal carries the live formulas. Self-supply (autoabasto) status post-2024 reform and PPA-specific cost negotiation are not modeled. Wholesale Electricity Market (MEM) participation as a Calificado is not modeled.
v2 — full 32-state coverage + sub-station mapping
Expand to all 32 federal entities. Add sub-station-nearness overlays for top 50 industrial municipalities (pairing with Tool 03 industrial real estate vacancy when AMPIP partner data lands). Add CENACE Demanda Regional live snapshot embeds.
v3 — TOU bill model + load-tier calculator
Combine the CFE GDMTH live rates with a user-stated load profile (peak demand kW, monthly kWh, hour-block split) to produce an annual MXN exposure per state, comparable across regions. Same composability pattern as the State-by-State Incentives Comparison's v3 ISN-effective-rate calculator.
Adjacent reading
Adjacent tool
ISN payroll-tax abatements, training institutes, fast-track permitting — the fiscal layer that pairs with the energy layer above. Same 10 states, same comparison logic.
Regional context
Northwest, Northeast, Bajío, Central, and Chihuahua — water and energy honesty pages, labor context, sector anchors. Each region page includes the explicit utilities read for that corridor.
Audit-grade work
Sub-station nearness, transformer capacity, interconnection-study commissioning, and the CFE Distribución relationships that determine whether your power lands on time. Where the tool ends and engagement begins.